Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Doctors' Pay

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/08/business/economy/08view.html?emc=eta1

As Robert Frank points out attached, the United States spends twice as much per capita on health care as many other nations, yet achieves inferior outcomes by such varied measures as life expectancy, preventable deaths from specific illnesses, and infant mortality. Much of that performance gap stems from the fact that many of the nation's 45 million (there's that disputed number again!) uninsured fail to receive needed care.

The spending gap stems largely from a conflict inherent in how American physicians are paid. Elsewhere, most doctors are salaried. But, under most American health plans, including Medicare and Medicaid, doctors are reimbursed according to how many tests and procedures they perform. As Frank points out, we all believe doctors recommend only those tests that they sincerely believe to be in their patients' best interests but we also know that additional tests, in the interest of being "thorough," will provide more income which can lean us in the direction of my relative: moral hazard. Moral hazard is not just a place we find at the big banks.

Frank quotes an article in the NY Times where Atul Gawande described an entrepreneurial subculture in McAllen, Texas in which doctors prescribe roughly half again as many tests and procedures as those in otherwise similar Texas communities. McAllen, he argued, is where American health care is heading.

And, the good news is that Dr. Gawande identified some health plans, like that of the Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, that have sidestepped the incentive problem by putting doctors on salary and operating their own hospitals. Such plans, which provide superb care and high patient satisfaction at significantly lower cost than conventional fee-for-service plans, would become more attractive under proposed legislation (I'll have to go along with Frank's position on that because I have no interest in reading 1174 pages of the proposed bill or bills).

It was my privilege to have been a part of annual executive physical process at the Mayo Clinic which was paid for by the company I worked for and it was exceptional. It was also my privilege to have served on the Board of the UT Southwestern Medical Center (one of this country's Top Ten hospitals) for the last 22 years. In both cases, the commitment to patient care is exceptional.

So, why hasn't the Mayo model caught on? One factor against quick expansion of the Mayo model is that many current doctors chose their profession hoping to earn lucrative pay, which they might not be able to do in a nonprofit clinic. But there is hope for more doctors who choose to view their profession as a "calling" working in nonprofit clinics. The incentive, aside from the exceptional reputation of places like the Mayo, is that doctors at such clinics can spend more time healing patients and less time fighting insurers.

According to Robert Frank (who is both an economist at Cornell University and co-director of the Paduano Seminar in Business Ethics at the Stern School of Business at New York University), any of the current health reform bills would encourage movement toward a Mayo approach. I'll take his word for it!

12 comments:

  1. Spot on. Can you imagine, though, how much administrative overhead we'd eliminate nationwide if we found an effective way to just pull the plug on insurance companies?

    Think about your average doctor's office. How many people who work there have nothing to do with your care, but instead focus on billing and nothing else?

    I'm guessing in the average office these days it's about half the staff.

    Insanity. We pay for that. And it's necessary under the current system because the billing process is so convoluted.

    Sadly none of the bills, to my knowledge, really address this. Regardless, I'm all in favor of salaried doctors.

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  2. In Texas, it is illegal for a physician to be a salaried employee of a medical facility unless employed as "teaching" physicians or the medical facility services a "rural" area. Hence, the Mayo model is not applicable under current Texas law to most Texas hospitals.

    In addition, the USA has the largest number of cross-border "emergencies" of any country in the world, caused by the federal 1986 law requiring every hospital to accept emergencies, regardless.

    This is a particular problem for American border cities when pregnant women cross the border to have their children in the USA: better services and American citizenship for their children. Unfortunately, these women tend to have limited per-natal care, thus raising the number of infant mortalities in the USA.

    Removal of non-citizens from the statistics results in the USA placing in the top-10% percentile of developed countries in positive outcomes. However, while the outcomes are now similar, such normalization of the data does not explain why Americans pay twice as much for the same service.

    In that regard, I do think that Robert Frank has a point; even though he is either an incompetent in not understanding statistical normalization (i.e. comparing apples to apples) or basically corrupt in his distortion of the facts to fit a political agenda.

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  3. Texas is ranked 46th in terms of Healthcare in the United States.

    http://www.commonwealthfund.org/Content/Publications/Fund-Reports/2009/Oct/2009-State-Scorecard.aspx

    I can also explain why we pay twice as much with a single link:

    http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2009/09/health-care200909

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  4. You have to remember that many of these tests that doctors run function more as a CYA. For example, I am close to someone who is the CEO of one of the most successful cardiology groups in the nation. His group is being sued by a patient who developed a form of lung cancer while under the care of one of his cardiologists. A cardiologist is not trained in how to look for cancer - radiologists do that, yet the cost of this litigation will be passed onto the other patients of the group.

    Craig will probably have some article to refute this :) but the CEO tells me that putting a cap on non-economic damages would help the costs in his practice.

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  5. First I want to say to Hazzard: I enjoy reading your blog. You always find interesting and relevant articles.

    Dale: those are very good points. As far as the lack of salaried doctors goes, sounds like there is too much regulation rather than not enough.

    I suggest anyone who want to jump on the Obamacare bandwagon read the following paper first. It describes just one of the problems that will result from the bills passage:

    http://mises.org/daily/3855

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  6. Actually I totally agree that a cap on malpractice lawsuits would be a great idea. Marcello's right, a lot of those 'extra' procedures are CYA ones. There is, however, a lot of data to show that malpractice costs are a fraction of the total problem.

    Aaron - Leaving aside the fact that you're using silly terminology like Obamacare to describe the House bill, I read your article.

    A quote:

    "According to pages 269–273 of the gargantuan bill, employers of full-time workers will be required to cover at least 72.5 percent of the premium of the least expensive health-insurance plan available that fulfills the bill's minimum criteria of "acceptable coverage." In cases in which family coverage is provided, 62.5 percent of the premium is to be borne by the employer. Depending on the specific plan and other variables such as location, this amounts to a direct labor tax of approximately $300 per month for an individual, or nearly $700 for family coverage."

    That comes across as *very* fuzzy math to me. It doesn't even mention what percentage employers currently pay on average, and whether or not this is a substantial deviation. If it's similar to what employers pay on average, then the 'tax' is non-existent.

    I can only imagine the reason this is obfuscated is because it suits their argument better. The rest of the article depends on your ability to completely overlook this gaping hole in their argument.

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  7. In fact, looking at page 2 of the PDF he cites there from Kaiser, http://ehbs.kff.org/pdf/2009/7937.pdf, individuals pay, on average, 17% of existing plans. Families pay 26%.

    Requiring business to pay 72% of individual plans and 62% of family plans might affect some companies that are paying well below the average, but it has utterly no effect on the vast majorities of corporations based on the data provided *by your article*.

    So the 'tax' is an utter fabrication.

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  8. To Aaron: thanks so much for your comments on the quality of my blog! To everybody: thank you for your inputs! They are excellent and educational!

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  9. Craig: The next sentence, after the one you reference about individuals paying 17%, states: "The share of the premium workers contribute for coverage also varies considerably. For single coverage, 24% of workers pay more than 25%..."

    So it will affect one quarter of individual plans. You cannot point to averages without considering the variance of the data and assume that legistlation would have no effect.

    Also, consider a company that is expanding. Once it reaches the 50 employee level (I believe that is the number they are suggesting) it either cannot hire one more employee, or it must now offer and pay for health insurance for all its employees. Justifying the cost of hiring becomes harder. This would offer the wrong kind of incentives.

    The economic idea behind employer provided health insurance is that because the employer can use the leverage from purchasing for a large number of people, it can get a better deal from the insurance company than an individual could. As a result, employees are willing to take a cut in wages in return for health benefits and the company can reduce wages by more than the cost of providing health benefits (but less than the cost of an individual purchasing insurance on his own). There are other benefits to the employer as well, such as healthy work force. But all this shows that this is a mutually beneficial exchange.

    However, when the government steps into mandate certain aspects of the labor agreement, this can be detrimental to one or both parties. If you try to force employers to pay more for labor, you run into the same problem as the minimum wage laws: you cause unemployment to rise.

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  10. Thanks for the reply. I see your point certainly, and of course it would affect some employers.

    The link you posted though doesn't make the same kind of measured analysis you did. Even your analysis is incomplete, because the law would only affect businesses paying less than 72%, not 75%, and since it's only 24% of workers paying over 25% presumably the number paying over 28% is lower, and I'm guessing it cuts that percentage in half. If all these numbers seem confusing, they are, and it's by design. Neither of us can tell, with any certainty, what this 'tax' would really amount to based on your link full of numbers and utterly lacking substance.

    The article instead uses what I'd call gross hyperbole to describe the problem, and it's that kind of obfuscation that really annoys me.

    I feel this debate, frankly, is full of people (on both sides) willing to basically lie and greatly oversimplify the situation to suit their own purposes, and I think we, as a public, deserve better. The article you linked is an example.

    I agree with your response in principle, however. Anything that costs employers money can (and will) drive up unemployment. It's just a matter of how much and what your priorities are.

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  11. What a great discussion! To add the perspective of a current medical student and the perhaps sentiments of the class in general:

    While most, if not all, medical students enter school for altruistic reasons; many are driven by the fear of their debt to enter a higher paying profession and argue against salaried pay. According to the AMA, the average debt for a 2008 graduate is $154,607, with over 75% of graduates having more than $100,000. This figure is rising at a rate of 11% per graduating class.

    Another thought that comes to mind is the rumor among students that residency position openings have not grown at the same rate as medical school positions. According to the National Residency Match Program there are about 31,000 people competing for 24,000 positions. While only 16k of these are American MD programs, some of the other 15k are American DO programs (the rest are foreign).

    The possibility of eight years of study (and debt) only to enter a residency program that that isn't what we would like to practice (or maybe no residency program at all) could certainly drive medical students to not want to add the uncertainty of salaried pay on top of it.

    I think in order to endorse a salaried pay for doctors (with benefits), America needs to take a serious look at the costs of a medical education and reassure medical students that we won't be forced into a practice we don't want or be swimming in debt for the first 10-15 years of our careers.

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  12. Gui: welcome to the discussion! I love the picture! Thank you for adding significantly to what's being discussed. Thinking out of the box, the U.S. government could invest in MDs by forgiving the educational debt of all (or certain needed specialties, including GPs). This type of thing has been done before post WW II for veterans. Government spending on this type of thing and teachers, for example, by far exceeds in importance other programs that are nothing but "pork"!

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